forward ukf
Inverse Unscented Kalman Filter
Singh, Himali, Mishra, Kumar Vijay, Chattopadhyay, Arpan
Rapid advances in designing cognitive and counter-adversarial systems have motivated the development of inverse Bayesian filters. In this setting, a cognitive `adversary' tracks its target of interest via a stochastic framework such as a Kalman filter (KF). The target or `defender' then employs another inverse stochastic filter to infer the forward filter estimates of the defender computed by the adversary. For linear systems, inverse Kalman filter (I-KF) has been recently shown to be effective in these counter-adversarial applications. In the paper, contrary to prior works, we focus on non-linear system dynamics and formulate the inverse unscented KF (I-UKF) to estimate the defender's state with reduced linearization errors. We then generalize this framework to an unknown system model by proposing reproducing kernel Hilbert space-based UKF (RKHS-UKF) to learn the system dynamics and estimate the state based on its observations. Our theoretical analyses to guarantee the stochastic stability of I-UKF and RKHS-UKF in the mean-squared sense shows that, provided the forward filters are stable, the inverse filters are also stable under mild system-level conditions. Our numerical experiments for several different applications demonstrate the state estimation performance of the proposed filters using recursive Cram\'{e}r-Rao lower bound as a benchmark.
Counter-Adversarial Learning with Inverse Unscented Kalman Filter
Singh, Himali, Mishra, Kumar Vijay, Chattopadhyay, Arpan
In counter-adversarial systems, to infer the strategy of an intelligent adversarial agent, the defender agent needs to cognitively sense the information that the adversary has gathered about the latter. Prior works on the problem employ linear Gaussian state-space models and solve this inverse cognition problem by designing inverse stochastic filters. However, in practice, counter-adversarial systems are generally highly nonlinear. In this paper, we address this scenario by formulating inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model, wherein the adversary employs an unscented Kalman filter (UKF) to estimate the defender's state with reduced linearization errors. To estimate the adversary's estimate of the defender, we propose and develop an inverse UKF (IUKF) system. We then derive theoretical guarantees for the stochastic stability of IUKF in the mean-squared boundedness sense. Numerical experiments for multiple practical applications show that the estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cram\'{e}r-Rao lower bound.